College Football Pick’Em: Week 4

Week 3-

Josh: 7-5

Mike: 6-6

Ozzie: 6-6

Overall Records:

Josh: 21-10

Mike: 17-14

Ozzie: 15-16

-Week 4-

This is by far the most exciting slate of games so far this season. At least three games have playoff implications, so lets get right to it.

Utah @ USC

Josh: Utah

USC got exposed last week, Utah is just better.

Mike: USC

Ozzie: Utah

Utah takes advantage of a sketchy USC defense. Utes win on the road.

Michigan @ Wisconsin

Josh: Michigan

This one could go either way. I’ll stick with my preseason pick here.

Mike: Michigan

Ozzie: Wisconsin

Wisconsin has a lot they want to prove. Johnathan Taylor has a HUGE day, Badgers by double digits.

 

Auburn @ Texas A&M

Josh: Texas A&M

I don’t understand why people think Bo Nix is good….

Mike: Texas A&M

Ozzie: Auburn

I don’t think Kellen Mond is the guy at QB for Aggies. Gets outplayed again and Bo Nix has great day for Tigers.

 

UCF @ Pitt

Josh: UCF

UCF wants a shootout, Pitt can’t keep up for 4 quarters.

Mike: UCF

Ozzie: UCF

UCF offense is really explosive. I like freshman QB Gabriel and think they want to continue making statements.

Washington @ BYU

Josh: Washington

Good for BYU playing so many tough games early in the season. I think Washington’s talent is too much here though.

Mike: BYU

Ozzie: Washington

BYU is looking to make another statement, but I think Washington is too good.

Kentucky @ Mississippi State

Josh: Mississippi State

I don’t have a great feel for this one… Could go either way.

Mike: Kentucky

Ozzie: Mississippi State

I’m rolling with the Dawgs, I think they want to bounce back and make some noise again. What better way than against a Kentucky team who lost a tough one at home against Florida.

South Carolina @ Missouri

Josh: Missouri

Kelly Bryant will play well enough as he continues to get comfortable in this offense.

Mike: South Carolina

Ozzie: Missouri

I believe that Missouri offense is too good, South Carolina looks okay but not quite good enough.

Oregon @ Stanford

Josh: Oregon

Oregon has looked great since their week 1 slip up. I still think they’re on their way to playing important postseason football.

Mike: Oregon

Ozzie: Oregon

Ducks are still bouncing back from a tough Week 1 loss to Auburn. I think Stanford is just completely off the rails.

Oklahoma State @ Texas

Josh: Texas

Its been too long sine UT has won this game. This is a must win for the Horns

Mike: Texas

Ozzie: Texas

Will be an old fashioned shootout, Texas just scores more than enough. Defense will have to come up big all night long.

Notre Dame @ Georgia

Josh: Georgia

I’ll be rooting for ND, but I dint think they can get the W here.

Mike: Georgia

Ozzie: Georgia

I don’t think ND is that good, Georgia is about to EXPOSEEEE them. Dawgs easily.

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College Football Pick’Em: Week 3

No video this week. Taking a break from the videos to figure out a better way to put these out. Likely will just be audio only podcasts to go along with the blogs (at least for the pick’s blogs, could still use the youtube channel occasionally). Until we get that worked out, we’ll just do it old school and blog it…

Week 2-

Josh: 6-2

Mike: 4-4

Ozzie: 3-5

Overall Records:

Josh: 14-5

Mike: 11-8

Ozzie: 9-10

-Week 3-

This week provides the highest number of intriguing games so far this season, but it lacks any major marquee matchup. There are number couple of Big12 teams that will be tested for the first time. Tech facing Arizona on the road, ISU looking to finally beat their rival Iowa for the first time under Coach Campbell, KSU looking to avenge the beatdown they took from Miss State last season, and TCU making the long trip to Purdue. We threw a few more in there for fun, including a couple potential blowouts that we pick against the spread…

Kansas State @ Mississippi State

Josh: Mississippi State

“KSU is improving, just not there yet.”

Ozzie: Mississippi State

“MSU offense is very efficient right now, Kylin Hill leads the way again.”

Mike: Mississippi State

Stanford @ UCF

Josh: UCF

UCF always plays up for these games, and I haven’t liked what I have seen from Stanford so far.”

Ozzie: UCF

“Stanford loses back to back games; UCF offense is very explosive.”

Mike: Stanford

USC @ BYU

Josh: USC

“BYU has looked decent against (supposed to be) tough competition through two weeks (Utah, Tennessee). They’ll be pleased do go 1-2 during this stretch.”

Ozzie: USC

“USC wins back to back games with backup QB Kedon Slovis (SLOVIS MANIAAAA)”

Mike: USC

Arizona State @ Michigan State

Josh: Michigan State

“MSU has a top 10 defense in the country, this could get ugly.”

Ozzie: Michigan State

“MSU ground game can control the clock, ASU faces 1st big matchup in early season. Not quite ready.”

Mike: Michigan State

Iowa @ Iowa State

Josh: Iowa

“The Iowa State hype got out of control this summer, Hawkeyes win comfortably”

Ozzie: Iowa State

“Ames will be rocking, big time in-state rivalry. ISU makes a big statement and beats one of Big 10’s best.”

Mike: Iowa

Florida @ Kentucky

Josh: Florida

“Felipe Franks is not good, but he won’t need to be this week.”

Ozzie: Florida

“Mainly due to UK losing starting QB. Florida wins a tough road game.”

Mike: Florida

Clemson @ Syracuse

Josh: Clemson

Much like Iowa State, the Syracuse hype got ridiculous… Clemson wins by as much as they want.”

Ozzie: Clemson

“Syracuse very underwhelming performance last weekend, Clemson puts up a ton in this game.”

Mike: Clemson

Florida State @ Virginia

Josh: Virginia

“If you don’t know who Bryce Perkins is, you will soon. UVA wins by 2 TDs.”

Ozzie: Virginia

“FSU barely squeaked by last week, they’re not quite good enough yet.”

Mike: Virginia

TCU @ Purdue

Josh: TCU

“Still a lot to learn about both teams… I’ll take TCU by a field goal.”

Ozzie: Purdue

“I think Purdue and Rondale Moore make a statement. TCU first real test of year, offense is huge question mark.”

Mike: Purdue

OU @ UCLA (+23.5)

Josh: UCLA

“OU wins the game, but UCLA scores late for the back door cover.”

Ozzie: OU

“OU will run away with this one. UCLA is still not quite good enough yet, Jalen Hurts continues rampage against JV defenses…”

Mike: OU

Texas @ Rice (+31.5)

Josh: Texas

“That’s a big spread, even for Rice. But I think that UT Defense wants to make a statement against an inferior opponent.”

Ozzie: Texas

“I think the UT offense is good enough to cover this spread, will defense bounce back against a completely different style of offense?? Rice will try to manage clock and slow game down, UT has to score quickly and in bunches to cover…which they will.”

Mike: Texas

Texas Tech @ Arizona

Josh: Texas Tech

“The first real test of the Matt Wells era. Is this defense real? Can Bowman and co. continue to run an efficient offense? I think so. 45-28 Tech!”

Ozzie: Texas Tech

“I think Matt Wells first road test of the year and he goes to Zona and beats the Fightin’ Kevin Sumlins”

Mike: Texas Tech

 

College Football Pick’Em: Week 2

Week 1

Josh: 8-3

Mike: 7-4

Ozzie: 6-5

-Week 2-

Week 1 was dumpster fire for picking games. Just one interesting game on the entire slate, and the better team lost that one… Week 2 is slightly better with 2 really good match ups, but I’m anxious to get further into the season when we can get the FCS teams off the schedules.

 


 

West Virginia @ Missouri

Josh: Missouri

Mike: West Virginia

Ozzie: Missouri

Nebraska @ Colorado

Josh: Colorado

Mike: Nebraska

Ozzie: Nebraska

Arkansas @ Ole Miss

Josh: Ole Miss

Mike: Ole Miss

Ozzie: Arkansas

Miami @ UNC

Josh: Miami

Mike: UNC

Ozzie: Miami

Stanford @ USC

Josh: Stanford

Mike: USC

Ozzie: Stanford

UTEP @ Texas Tech (-34.5)

Josh: Texas Tech

Mike: UTEP

Ozzie: Texas Tech

Texas A&M @ Clemson

Josh: Clemson

Mike: Clemson

Ozzie: Clemson

LSU @ Texas

Josh: LSU

Mike: Texas

Ozzie: Texas

 

College Football Pick’Em: Week 1

-Week 1-

Week 0 came so quickly that we weren’t able to get picks in… Week 1’s slate of games isn’t quite as exciting as it has been in past years. But we’re excited to talk football and make some picks nonetheless.

*For explanation of picks, watch the video at the bottom of the page*

 

Utah at BYU- 

Josh: Utah

Mike: Utah

Ozzie: Utah

 

Wisconsin at South Florida-

Josh: Wisconsin

Mike: South Florida

Ozzie: Wisconsin

 

Ole Miss at Memphis-

Josh: Memphis

Mike: Ole Miss

Ozzie: Ole Miss

 

South Carolina Vs North Carolina-

Josh: South Carolina

Mike: North Carolina

Ozzie: South Carolina

 

Northwestern at Stanford

Josh: Stanford

Mike: Stanford:

Ozzie: Stanford

 

Boise State Vs Florida State-

Josh: Boise State

Mike: Florida State

Ozzie: Florida State

 

Virginia at Pitt-

Josh: Pitt

Mike: Pitt

Ozzie: Pitt

 

Houston at Oklahoma-

Josh: OU

Mike: OU

Ozzie: OU

 

Louisiana Tech at Texas-

Josh: Texas

Mike: Texas

Ozzie: Texas

 

Montana State at Texas Tech-

Josh: Texas Tech

Mike: Texas Tech

Ozzie: Texas Tech

 

Oregon Vs Auburn (Cowboy Stadium)-

Josh: Oregon

Mike: Auburn

Ozzie: Oregon

 

 

 

2019 College Football Preview/Predictions

*everything in this blog can be seen in Part 2 of our College Football Preview video, which will be posted at the end*


College Football is finally back and I’m excited for what is probably the best part of being a CFB fan… That’s trying to guess what happens and bragging about the 1 or 2 things I might get right. My prediction blog last year was my first real blog, and if Im going to be judged off of that then I won’t be doing this very much longer… I had only 1 correct playoff team, and my obsession with Penn State came back to bite me once again. So I have regrouped, and I know for a fact that my 2019 Playoff predictions will be 100% correct… So here they are.

1. Clemson vs 4. Oregon

Starting off with a surprise… I think Oregon will be the best team in a pretty weak Pac12. I love Justin Herbert as a potential Heisman candidate, and Oregon once again has the weapons to be really explosive offensively. Oregon might not be the 4th best team in the country, but I think the circumstances around the country, namely a 2 loss Big12 Champ, will allow for Oregon to sneak into the Playoffs as the 4 seed. I don’t think I need to say much about the defending Champions Clemson Tigers. They’ll ride into this game at 13-0 and the heavy CFP favorites.

2. Michigan vs 3. LSU

A double surprise here! I think this is finally the year for Michigan to get over the hump and beat Ohio State. I think they very well could be undefeated going into the playoffs. Shea Patterson is a stud, and I think Michigan has a top 3 defense in the country. For LSU, I see a lot of similarities to Michigan. At some point Alabama isn’t going to make the playoffs, I think this is the year LSU can put it together with some good QB play (finally) out of Joe Burrows, and a defense that I think will be better than Alabama’s.

National Championship-

1. Clemson vs 3. LSU

Clemson rolls over an overmatched Oregon team, and LSU beat Michigan in a close, low scoring game. In a matchup of just ridiculous athletes and extremely talented defenses, I think the difference comes down to QB play and offensive efficiency. With the best QB in the country (and my Heisman pick) in Trevor Lawrence, I think Clemson rolls to their 2nd consecutive Title and third in the last four years. Which will put them in the conversation as one of the best teams we have ever seen in college football!


2019 Texas Tech Football Preview

MattWells_2019_texastech_2

Happy College Football Season everyone! Look, when push comes to shove, I’m a basketball guy at my core, but there might not be a more exciting time of the sports year for me than the start of the College Football season!

And with the start to this college football season, we have the start of a new era in Lubbock Texas. Matt Wells takes over for Kliff Kingsbury, who was let go after 6 mediocre seasons. As much as I loved Kliff, he was even more loved in the city of Lubbock. We all believed he would be the guy to get Tech back to consistent relevance, unfortunately it just never happened. If you’re interested in my thoughts on the coach replacing Kliff, click here for my reaction to the Matt Wells hire back in December.

Anytime you have a coaching change, in really any sports, expectations in that first year are typically fairly low. Usually a new coaching staff means a new system which means you have bunch of players playing in a system they weren’t recruited for. However, sometimes you see the opposite take place. Sometimes a new coach inherits a group that has talent, but just hasn’t been able to put it together yet. The question is, which one of these outcomes is more likely for the Red Raiders in 2019? Hopefully we can find out by the end of this blog…

With all that said, lets get into it.

Offense

Matt Wells’ offensive system really isn’t all that different from what Texas Tech fans should be used to seeing. There are differences, but some of those differences won’t be noticeable by the average college football fan that doesn’t nerd out on this stuff the way some of us do. There will be some noticeable differences though, most notably will be the use of the TE. Tech had recruited and got a commitment from Simon Gonzales (3 star TE from Magnolia, Tx) well before they made a coaching change. But once Wells took over, he added to that position by bringing in JuCo TE Travis Koontz. Add them to returning senior Dante Thompson, and converted Full Back Tyler Carr (both of whom were seldom used under the previous staff) and all of a sudden you have a fairly deep group of TEs for QB Alan Bowman to throw to. Another difference in the schemes should be a stronger commitment to the run game. However thats always a tricky thing to predict, especially when what you have done in the past has worked. In all of the 6 seasons under Kliff, we thought we would see a stronger commitment to the run game, but rarely did that consistently be the case once the conference play started. Kliff was a guy that would run the same play over and over again if it was working, which I’m fine with. So if Bowman does throw it 50 times a game and the offense is successful, you won’t hear any complaints from me.

Speaking of Alan Bowman, lets talk QBs. Bowman entered the 2018 season thought to be the 3rd string QB headed for a redshirt season (at least thats what I thought). There was a QB competition that most believed was between McLane Carter (now at Rutgers) and Jett Duffey. While Carter ended up winning the job, he was hurt early in the opening game and didn’t see much playing time all season after that. We all expected to see Jett Duffey trot out there after Carter went down, but instead it was the true freshman Alan Bowman. After a fine performance (considering his circumstances) in his week 1 relief job, Bowman took off the next few weeks and took control of the job. Unfortunately, a broken rib and collapsed lung kept him, and the entire team for that matter, from reaching their full potential last year. If you want to look back on last season and over-analyze things, you’d likely come to the conclusion that had Alan Bowman been healthy all season, Kingsbury would still be in Lubbock… With that being said, a healthy Bowman is absolutely paramount for the Red Raiders’ chances at a successful season. The kid is really good, and he has some pretty solid weapons around him, which brings us to the skilled positions.

One of the added benefits of Matt Wells’ offense specific to this season, is the depth improvement that comes with playing in a mainly 3 WR set in stead of 4. Tech was looking pretty thin at WR had they needed to fill 4 spots. In such a fast paced system, you really need at least two guys at each spot that you feel conformable with playing a lot of snaps. Losing Antoine Wesley (draft), Zach Austin (graduation), and Seth Collins (injury) would have really hurt in a 4 WR system. Now, needing only 6 guys to fill 3 spots, as well as a couple of potential newcomers, that WR position looks to be solid at the very least. Once again, TJ Vasher will be looked upon to be “the guy” at WR. He’s had a decent career, but has yet to take that next step (similar to what Wesley did last year). Going into his Jr year now, its important for him to do just that. Its unclear who else will be starting on the outside, but expect to see Kesean Carter, Erik Ezukanma, and Louisiana Monroe Transfer RJ Turner all getting playing time. If I had to guess based off of coaches and player comments, I would expect Turner to be the starter opposite Vasher. On the inside, Tech has their typical slot position, as well as a consistent TE spot. I mentioned the TEs already, and I think you could see all 4 of those guys playing a decent amount of snaps, unless they decide to redshirt Simon Gonzales. I think Donta Thompson probably gives the offense the most in terms of pass catching and running after the catch, while Tyler Carr will be more of an old school blocking option. Travis Koontz is the most traditional TE on the roster. At the H position, which is the spot that Tech fans are used to seeing a lot of production from (Keke Coutee, Jakeem Grant, that one season of Jonathon Giles, Danny Amandola, Eric Morris, Wes Welker, I could go on and on), west Texas native and Nevada transfer McLane Mannix will likely get the majority of snaps. He has already had a decent amount of success at the FBS level and looks the part to be a force in this offense. He’s my early pick to lead the team in catches. Behind him will be Dalton Rigdon and walk on stand out Xavier White. There will be a lot of new names out there catching passes for Texas Tech, but I feel confident that it will be a top 5 position group in the conference.

At Running Back, however, depth could be a real issue. Tech has been searching for a consistent RB since Deandre Washington graduated in 2015. Da’Leon Ward was supposed to be the guy the past couple of years, but after multiple suspensions he has finally left the program. The addition of grad transfer Armond Shyne from Utah will help greatly with depth. But at the moment you have Shyne, Ta’zhawn Henry, SaRoderick Thompson, and Jax Welch all competing for playing time. Im inclined to believe that Henry will ultimately be the top guy, but thats just because we have seen the most out of him so far. I’d expect to see a RB by committee until someone steps up and takes the job.

With so much up in the air at RB, as well as the importance of keeping Bowman healthy, its CRUCIAL that this offensive line reaches their potential this season, which is pretty high. Returning 4 starters (all but the center) is a huge advantage. These guys have been playing on the line together for a really long time. I think Wells should feel really good about his Tackle positions with Travis Buffy and Terrence Steele, as well as one of his Guard spots with Jack Anderson. The questions will be: Can Madison Akamnonu be consistent at the other guard or will he once again be in and out of the lineup? and can Dawson Deaton step in at Center and lead this experienced group of offensive lineman?

Overall, I feel great about this offense as long as Bowman can avoid the big injuries again. I like the weapons, I LOVE the addition of the TE, and I trust the experience on the line. The only real worry is the RB position, and thats more of an unknown than a worry. I think new OC David Yost will become a fan favorite pretty quickly once this fast paced spread offense gets rolling in The Jones.

Defense

Before last season, I claimed that the defense was actually the strength of the team. Ultimately, I think that was proven to NOT be the case in 2018… But anyone who has watched Texas Tech over that last 10 years will tell you, that defense wasn’t all that bad. As I mentioned earlier, 2018 probably looks a lot different if Alan Bowman had stayed healthy. Meaning, the defense was, overall, fine last year. This year, David Gibbs departs and is replaced by Keith Patterson. Patterson runs a multiple system with a couple different hybrid positions. Its technically a base 3-4 system, but in the Big12 you’re rarely going to see a defense with less than 5 DBs on the field. So one of the Linebacker spots is really a LB/Safety hybrid. At the other outside LB is an OLB/DE hybrid, a position that really is intended to get to the QB.

With that, lets talk about the Linebacker group first… Lead once again by Jordyn Brooks, who believe it or not is about to be a 4 year starter. Next to him on the inside will be Riko Jeffers, who replaces last years leader on the defense Dakota Allen. Backing them up is veteran Brayden Stringer and redshirt freshman Xavier Benson. I fully expect Brooks and Jeffers to play the vast majority of the snaps and be one of the best LB duos in the conference. However, the depth behind them could be an issue. At the outside linebacker spots, you’ll see graduate transfer Evan Rambo (coming over from Cal) at the “SPUR” position, which is the LB/Safety hybrid. Behind him is Adam Beck, who is a DB, not a LB. Which shows just how multiple this defense will be in 2019. At the other OLB you’ll see true freshman Tyrique Matthews likely starting, with a number of different guys possibly getting look there as well. Interestingly enough, Riko Jeffers is listed as the backup here, which shows that depth will be an issue.

On the defensive line, I think there are similar strengths and concerns as there are at LB. Starting up front will be Broderick Washington (DT), Nick McCann (NT), and Eli Howard (DE). I have full confidence n those 3 guys. In order to shore up the depth, guys like Nelson Mbanasor (DE) and Jaylon Hutchings (NT) will have to step up. Quinton Yontz (DE) will backup Eli Howard, while he doesn’t have the potential of the other backups, he’s probably the most stable and consistent guy in the second unit. I cannot stress enough how important it is that Nelson Mbanasor, Nick McCann and Jaylon Hutchings step up this season.

The secondary is, in my opinion, the strength of this defense. In our Big12 preview (posted below) I mentioned that I feel confident in about 7 guys right now to get consistent playing time in the defensive backfield. I wish I had worded that better. What I meant was that I think there are about 7 guys that are good enough to get the vast majority of the snaps. There are another group of 5 or 6 guys that will compete for playing time (especially early in the season). At the Safety positions, Tech will have two starters that have seen a ton of playing time, but not at safety… Adrien Frye was an All-Big12 CB last year as a freshman, but in this new system will be starting at Safety this year. At the other Safety, Douglas Coleman (who has played a lot at CB and NB) will be the first guy thrown out there. In this new system, they don’t really care about if you’re a traditional CB, Safety, or NB… They just want the 4/5 best coverage guys out there, which I love! Backing those guys up and likely getting a lot of playing time will be Thomas Leggett, Adam Beck, JaMarcus Ingram (recent grad transfer from Utah State), and Dadrion Taylor. At CB, Des Smith returns and will get the start on one side. On the other side is a guy that I am really excited about. Zach McPhearson is yet another grad-transfer who played a lot at Penn State. Coaches raved about him all off season and I wouldn’t be surprised if he is the best cover guy on the roster. Backing those guys up will be Demarcus Fields, who very well may be starter at some point, and John Davis Jr. Other names to pay attention to are Quincy Addison and Alex Hogan. This group lost one of their better players in Justus Parker (suspension), but the depth of this group should alleviate that loss.

Season Prediction

All offseason long I have tried to keep my expectations realistic for Matt Wells’ first season in Lubbock. As I mentioned above, its so hard to know what to expect out of a team in their coaches first year at the helm. But I really, really like this roster. And once again, I truly believe that a healthy Alan Bowman would have caused last season to look very different… With that said, I think this is a good, but not great team. The Big12 is good, but I think there are only 2 teams that will be heavily favored over Texas Tech in 2019. Plus, the non-conference slate is relatively easy, with only a trip to Arizona potentially giving Tech trouble. I would put this team close to the top of the 2nd tier in the Big12 along with Iowa State and TCU. I think Tech finishes 4th in the conference and sets up some lofty expectations going into 2020.

8-4 and a trip to the Camping World Bowl.

GunsUp

-Josh


Check out our season preview videos below.

Part 1:

 

Part 2: